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HBR's 10 Must Reads on Making Smart Decisions
Learn why bad decisions happen to good managers-and how to make better ones. If you read (or listen to) nothing else on decision making, listen to these ten articles. We've combed through hundreds of articles in the Harvard Business Review archive and selected the most important ones to help you and your organization make better choices and avoid common traps. Leading experts such as Ram Charan, Michael Mankins, and Thomas Davenport provide the insights and advice you need to: make bold decisions that challenge the status quo; support your decisions with diverse data; evaluate risks and benefits with equal rigor; check for faulty cause-and-effect reasoning; test your decisions with experiments; foster and address constructive criticism; and defeat indecisiveness with clear accountability.
Daniel Kahneman, Harvard Business Review, Ram Charan (Author), James Edward Thomas (Narrator)
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New York Times çok satan! 2.6 milyondan fazla kopya satildi! Her gün devasa bir bilgi akisiyla karsi karsiyayiz: televizyon, internet, medya. Günümüzde bilgi, insanlari manipüle etmenin ana araçlarindan biridir. Çok sayida istatistik ve görüs arasinda gerçegi kurgudan ayirt edebilmek için elestirel düsünmeyi gelistirmeliyiz. Ancak, mantikli düsündügümüzü sandigimizda bile kendi zihnimizin bizi siklikla yaniltigini biliyor musunuz? Nobel Ekonomi Ödülüne layik görülen dünyaca ünlü psikolog Daniel Kahneman, Hizli ve Yavas Düsünme kitabinda sezgilerimize çok fazla güvenerek neden siklikla ayni yanlis seçimleri yaptigimizdan veya mantiksiz davrandigimizdan bahsediyor. Psikolog, arastirma ve istatistiksel deneyleri kullanarak dogru seçimler yapmaya çalisirken neden tuzaklara düstügümüzü açikliyor. Hizli ve Yavas Düsünme kitabinin yardimiyla etkili planlama becerilerinizi gelistirebilirsiniz. Zihnimizin nasil isledigini bilerek yanlis kararlardan kaçinabilir ve dogru varsayimlara dayali sonuçlar çikarmayi ögrenebilirsiniz. Kahneman’in faydali tavsiyelerini hem is hem de özel yasaminizda size yardimci olacaktir. Bu sesli kitabi dinledikten sonra sunlari ögreneceksiniz: • Beynimiz neden tembellik eder ve bu karar verme sürecini nasil etkileyebilir; • Sezgilerinize neden çok fazla güvenmemelisiniz; • Beynin basitlestirme egilimi bizi nasil yanlis sonuçlara götürebilir; • Dogru varsayimda nasil bulunursunuz. © 2011, The Daniel Kahneman Amended and Restated Family Trust. © 2020 Varlik Yayinlari. Kitap Osman Deniztekin ve Filiz Nayir Deniztekin tarafindan çevrilmistir. (P) 2022 ABP Yayinevi
Daniel Kahneman (Author), Efe özgün (Narrator)
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Ruido: Un fallo en el juicio humano
PARA ENTENDER CÓMO PENSAMOS Y PENSAR MEJOR, HAY QUE LEER A KAHNEMAN Premio Nobel de Economía Dos médicos en la misma ciudad pueden dar diagnósticos diferentes a pacientes idénticos; dos jueces pueden dictar sentencias distintas ante delitos similares; nosotros mismos podemos decidir una cosa u otra según sea por la mañana o por la tarde, o según se acerque o no la hora de comer. Estos son ejemplos de ruido: el sesgo que conlleva variabilidad en juicios que deberían ser iguales. El ruido está presente en todas las decisiones individuales y colectivas, y produce errores en innumerables terrenos, desde la medicina hasta la economía, pasando por el derecho, la sanidad, la protección infantil y la contratación. Además, también nos importuna e influye a la hora de tomar muchas de nuestras decisiones cotidianas. Daniel Kahneman, uno de los psicólogos más importantes del mundo, junto con Cass R. Sunstein y Olivier Sibony, dos eminencias mundiales en pensamiento estratégico, nos enseñan a escuchar ese ruido, cuyo impacto tendemos a ignorar, y a reducirlo para mejorar nuestros juicios. Basado en el mismo tipo de análisis agudo e ingeniosos ejemplos que convirtió Pensar rápido, pensar despacio en un best seller internacional, Ruido ofrece una serie de remedios originales, prácticos y sencillos para pensar mejor. La crítica ha dicho: «Una investigación absolutamente brillante de un problema social inmenso que nos ha pasado desapercibido cuando ha estado siempre ante nuestros ojos.» Steven Levitt, autor de Freakonomics «Monumental y apasionante. Excepcional.» The Sunday Times «Un tour de force de sabiduría y claridad.» The New York Times «Puede que Ruido sea el libro más importante que he leído en más de una década. Una obra maestra.» Angela Duckworth, autora de Grit «Un logro magistral y un hito en el campo de la psicología.» Philip E. Tetlock, coautor de Superpronosticadores «Una exploración electrizante de la mente humana. Este libro cambiará permanentemente nuestra forma de pensar sobre la escala y el alcance de los prejuicios.» David Lammy, diputado por Tottenham «Prepárate para que algunas de las mentes más brillantes del mundo te ayuden a repensar tu forma de evaluar a las personas, tomar decisiones y resolver problemas.» Adam Grant, autor de Think Again y presentador del TED podcast WorkLife
Cass R. Sunstein, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony (Author), Humberto Solórzano (Narrator)
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Wherever there is human judgement, there is noise. 'A monumental, gripping book ... Outstanding' Sunday Times 'A tour de force of scholarship and clear writing' New York Times 'Noise may be the most important book I've read in more than a decade. A genuinely new idea so exceedingly important you will immediately put it into practice. A masterpiece' Angela Duckworth, author of Grit 'An absolutely brilliant investigation of a massive societal problem that has been hiding in plain sight' Steven Levitt, co-author of Freakonomics From the world-leaders in strategic thinking and the multi-million copy bestselling authors of Thinking Fast and Slow and Nudge, the next big book to change the way you think. Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients - or that two judges in the same court give different sentences to people who have committed matching crimes. Now imagine that the same doctor and the same judge make different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday, or they haven't yet had lunch. These are examples of noise: variability in judgements that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony and Cass R. Sunstein show how noise produces errors in many fields, including in medicine, law, public health, economic forecasting, forensic science, child protection, creative strategy, performance review and hiring. And although noise can be found wherever people are making judgements and decisions, individuals and organizations alike commonly ignore its impact, at great cost. Packed with new ideas, and drawing on the same kind of sharp analysis and breadth of case study that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge international bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise and bias in decision-making. We all make bad judgements more than we think. With a few simple remedies, this groundbreaking book explores what we can do to make better ones.
Cass R. Sunstein, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony (Author), Todd Ross (Narrator)
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Pensar rápido, pensar despacio
Un apasionante recorrido por el funcionamiento de la mente de la mano del padre de la psicología conductista y premio Nobel de Economía en 2002: Daniel Kahneman. Daniel Kahneman, uno de los pensadores más importantes del mundo, recibió el premio Nobel de Economía por su trabajo pionero en psicología sobre el modelo racional de la toma de decisiones. Sus ideas han tenido un profundo impacto en campos tan diversos como la economía, la medicina o la política, pero hasta ahora no había reunido la obra de su vida en un libro. En Pensar rápido, pensar despacio, un éxito internacional, Kahneman nos ofrece una revolucionaria perspectiva del cerebro y explica los dos sistemas que modelan cómo pensamos. El sistema 1 es rápido, intuitivo y emocional, mientras que el sistema 2 es más lento, deliberativo y lógico. Kahneman expone la extraordinaria capacidad (y también los errores y los sesgos) del pensamiento rápido, y revela la duradera influencia de las impresiones intuitivas sobre nuestro pensamiento y nuestra conducta. El impacto de la aversión a la pérdida y el exceso de confianza en las estrategias empresariales, la dificultad de predecir lo que nos hará felices en el futuro, el reto de enmarcar adecuadamente los riesgos en el trabajo y en el hogar, el profundo efecto de los sesgos cognitivos sobre todo lo que hacemos, desde jugar en la Bolsa hasta planificar las vacaciones; todo esto solo puede ser comprendido si entendemos el funcionamiento conjunto de los dos sistemas a la hora de formular nuestros juicios y decisiones. Al implicar al lector en una animada reflexión sobre cómo pensamos, Kahneman consigue revelar cuándo podemos confiar en nuestras intuiciones y cuándo no, y de qué modo podemos aprovechar los beneficios del pensamiento lento. Además, ofrece enseñanzas prácticas e iluminadoras sobre cómo se adoptan decisiones en la vida profesional o personal, y sobre cómo podemos usardistintas técnicas para protegernos de los fallos mentales que nos crean problemas. Pensar rápido, pensar despacio cambiará para siempre nuestra manera de pensar sobre cómo pensamos. Reseñas: «Los más entusiastas lo comparan con Galileo y Darwin.» El Mundo «Considerado uno de los mejores libros de 2011 por The New York Times, The Economist o The Wall Street Journal, Kahneman revela cuándo debemos confiar en nuestras intuiciones para aprovechar los beneficios del pensamiento lento.» El Economista
Daniel Kahneman (Author), Humberto Solórzano (Narrator)
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HBR's 10 Must Reads on Negotiation
Learn to be a better negotiator-and achieve the outcomes you want. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business Review articles and selected the most important ones to help you avoid common mistakes, find hidden opportunities, and win the best deals possible. This book will inspire you to: control the negotiation before you enter the room; persuade others to do what you want-for their own reasons; manage emotions on both sides of the table; understand the rules of negotiating across cultures; set the stage for a healthy relationship long after the ink has dried; and identify what you can live with and when to walk away.
Daniel Kahneman, Deepak Malhotra, Erin Meyer, Harvard Business Review, Max H. Bazerman (Author), Brian Holden, Chloe Cannon (Narrator)
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Machinery of the Mind (An Interview)
Where we can trust our fast intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking
Daniel Kahneman (Author), Daniel Kahneman (Narrator)
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When You Can't Enjoy Life: Accept The Unaccepted Things
It's hard to enjoy life if you are weighed down with the belief that something bad is going to happen. How can you appreciate today if you believe tomorrow will bring misery? There is a path to a better today.. When your thoughts make you feel bad because you believe you shouldn't have them, you might repress them and stuff them back where they came from. However, doing this may be exactly what keeps those negative, intrusive thoughts alive. What do you do when someone you believe cares about you doesn't stand up in your defense? What if there's a wrong they don't right and you are stuck taking the fall? This Audio Book is all about what we expect from others and perhaps, what we shouldn't.
Daniel Kahneman (Author), Adam Gill (Narrator)
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The unabridged, downloadable audiobook edition of Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman's pioneering work that tackles questions of intuition and rationality. Read by the actor Patrick Egan. Daniel Kahneman, recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for his seminal work in psychology challenging the rational model of judgment and decision making, is one of the world's most important thinkers. His ideas have had a profound impact on many fields-including business, medicine, and politics-but until now, he has never brought together his many years of research in one book. In Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think and make choices. One system is fast, intuitive, and emotional; the other is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. Kahneman exposes the extraordinary capabilities-and also the faults and biases-of fast thinking, and reveals the pervasive influence of intuitive impressions on our thoughts and behaviour. The importance of properly framing risks, the effects of cognitive biases on how we view others, the dangers of prediction, the right ways to develop skills, the pros and cons of fear and optimism, the difference between our experience and memory of events, the real components of happiness-each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems work together to shape our judgments and decisions. Drawing on a lifetime's experimental experience, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our professional and our personal lives-and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Thinking, Fast and Slow will transform the way you take decisions and experience the world.
Daniel Kahneman (Author), Patrick Egan (Narrator)
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The guru to the gurus at last shares his knowledge with the rest of us. Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman's seminal studies in behavioral psychology, behavioral economics, and happiness studies have influenced numerous other authors, including Steven Pinker and Malcolm Gladwell. In Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman at last offers his own, first book for the general public. It is a lucid and enlightening summary of his life's work. It will change the way you think about thinking. Two systems drive the way we think and make choices, Kahneman explains: System One is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System Two is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. Examining how both systems function within the mind, Kahneman exposes the extraordinary capabilities as well as the biases of fast thinking and the pervasive influence of intuitive impressions on our thoughts and our choices. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, he shows where we can trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking, contrasting the two-system view of the mind with the standard model of the rational economic agent. Kahneman's singularly influential work has transformed cognitive psychology and launched the new fields of behavioral economics and happiness studies. In this path-breaking book, Kahneman shows how the mind works, and offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and personal lives--and how we can guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. ** Please contact Customer Service for additional content**
Daniel Kahneman (Author), Patrick Egan (Narrator)
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